politics

Real democracy or electors bribery?

Few years ago, a populist political party came to power in Poland, the party in question “PIS” is hostile towards the EU, and the main reason it came to power is because they proposed a program called Rodzina 500 plus basically offering money to parents with 2 or more kids. Why 2 or more? probably because the cost of such a program was so big that it is not even possible to finance it if it was money offered for every child.
>> Result >>> The party in question won the elections.

This kind of legal bribery happen in every election, and in most countries, populist parties are the ones usually using bribery to the highest extend.

For example in a debate for the French Elections -see video below-, Marine Le Pen, the far right candidate have a several proposition to cut taxes, give more social aid in some cases, etc etc … Her program would bring and additional 100-170 billion dollars in deficit, and she has no concrete and serious solution to finance these newly proposed expenses.

Democracy is broken

The usage of monetary incentive is simple bribery, the society is not choosing what is better for it, simply because the poor and often the middle class, will fall for the ploy and vote for the money into their pockets.

In Lebanon, while growing up, i remember on each election, parties were paying for votes, i remember it was 100$, i hear it is around 1000$ now … So what is so different between the 2 cases above and this case ?
Absolutely Nothing, in all the 3 cases, money is used to win elections, and that is bribery.

Real Democracy

In a real democracy, voters should choose candidates based on programs not based on incentives. It is true that most societies are mature enough politically to not fall for this kind of bribery, but still some do, especially when you have a lot of poor population.

How much truth / lies in the media these days ?

I was reading earlier today an article about a very fat Egyptian lady “Eman Ahmed Abd El Aty” that underwent a weight loss program, and was said to have lost more than 400 pounds.
The article was about how the lady got paralyzed, and in the article her sister is saying how the Indian hospital and doctor were exaggerating the numbers just for publicity, and in reality she only lost a fraction of the weight.

The article goes in details about what a bad experience it was, and how it was life threatening, and how the lady went into comas several times.
The funny thing, is that this news outlet have been writing a lot about this specific lady, before she got paralyzed. And now you realize that all previous articles were bull$hit.

They say the media lies, but does it really ? Or simply, it is manipulated, and accept manipulation for the sake of viewers and readers ?

Another article caught my attention, emphasizing money donated by a country A for the reconstruction of country B, while country A have been actively waging war on certain community in country B and effectively have the prime role in the destruction caused.

Then today, i watched a funny Quebecois film “Votez Bougon”

It is basically ends on a note of the relation between power and press …

So at the end of the day, between power influence and manipulation, most of the news are lies are sheep manipulation.

As i expected, Trump wins

In my previous post about trump chances in winning, i expected that a lot of people would be lying to polls just to avoid being labeled as racists etc … And that in fact, Trump is much more popular than what appears in polls, and that was the case.

Maybe we need a new type of polling

I expected that a lot of Latino and African American voters would vote for Trump, and so they did!

The political pundits are still trying to frame this as a last minute decision, even-though most voters made up their mind before September.

Democrats thought they can play the gender card, after all the race card was successful for the last 2 terms, unfortunately for them it did not work well, because it appears it might have created a polarizing choice.
> if the wife is voting for her just because she is a woman, the husband might vote for him to cancel the wife’s vote,  more women voted for Hillary (not only because she is a women, but also because of supporting abortion, and because of the trump audio about grabbing private parts), but also more men voted for Trump (some can not handle being led by a woman, especially those men having women bosses and managers)
men-woman-vote

PS: I’m not a Republican nor a Democrat, heck, i’m not even American ..

Is the BREXIT actually good for the EU ?

I have previously written numerous article concerning this subject, but none was really analyzing the long term effect, now i decided to do so.

London Capital of Europe

English is the world most influential language, and was for a long time the most widespread second language, whenever you group several people from different countries, the predominant language would be English, and that statement is even more true in Europe (unless the countries have a common language).
Long term, London was destined to becoming the Capital of Europe, simply because it’s the only place where you can group hundreds of bilingually diverse people, people with a common language and at the same time a distinct language allowing them to communicate with the world. As a result of that, it was destined to become the hub for all the multinational companies that wish to operate European wide.

Why the BREXIT is good for the EU

1- Multinationals: By exiting the EU, the UK kind of forced the big companies to move to continental Europe, and without a single heavy weight, like in the case of London, it is expected that companies will spread across several countries, that means there’s more jobs that are going to be created in many EU countries, and the multinationals will boost the economy of several countries not only one.

2- Banks Migration: The financial institutions are expected to move to continental Europe, thus the EU will have a better control of how the finance sector is operating, thus avoiding any perturbations.

3- The UK political weight:  The UK was not playing and never actually played team Europe, it was more aligned with the US politics. US politics and EU politics are not the same, and by exiting, the UK did undermine the US influence on the EU politics.

4- National Identities: The UK presence in the EU was basically pushing towards a unique language, because as mentioned previously “English” is a very important language. But with no UK in EU, more of the EU languages will be promoted.

5- Less unskilled migrants: Put aside the economic refugees, the biggest destination for unskilled migrants in Europe is the UK. Why ? simple, because half the earth populations speaks some level of english, and the UK economy is good. With no UK in the EU, it’s less tempting for young men to migrate from Afganistan, Pakistan, Africa … to a EU country where they will not be able to understand a single word.

What are Trump chances ?

After watching the last 2 US presidential debates, i came to notice that Donald Trump is not the dumb guy portrayed by the media. In many points he makes sense …

It is visible though that Hillary is way more prepared and experienced, due mainly to her 30 year presence in one way or another on the political scene. This is not necessarily a good thing for electors, as they might associate her with previous politics failure.
Another point is interesting from a political point of view, is that Trump is a bit naive when it comes to the US foreign policy, even though he does quote wikileaks often, it seams that he do not give the same importance to all the revelations, which also include the US involvement in changing and shaping regions to it’s liking , i would recommend reading or watching “the confessions of an economic hitman”

But back to the question, What are Trump chances in Winning the US Elections ?

I would describe them as high, for the following reasons:

1- Hillary does not appear trustworthy, as a neutral observer, it stroke me several times that she is manipulative. Don’t get me wrong, Trump also appears lying, but the difference is that he does not appear manipulative, but simply lying to save face.

2- The media have demonized Trump so much, that it’s not possible to identify his supporters anymore, the supporters did not abandon him, but they are just pretending something else. They might tell you they want to vote for Hillary or Sanders (eventhough he’s not on ballots anymore) or charlie brown etc…, but at the end of the day, they will vote for their candidate. So, no way to trust the Polls, the margin of error is HUGE (sorry couldn’t resist).

3- He is definitely getting all the votes of people fed up with illegal immigration, and that include: many African American, many American Latinos.

4- He has the bible belt support, and don’t be surprised if your local church is telling you to go vote for Trump just before election day.

 

So yeah, Trump chances are still pretty high, need to wait and see.

 

Why did Britain choose to Brexit

In case you have no idea yet why would the UK decide to leave the EU,

Here’s a couple good examples (videos below) at what is happening at the French / UK borders.

This is happening inside a EU state, these are not desperate people trying to cross the border from a war torn country.

2 Weeks ago, 3 journalists from the mail almost died when their car crashed due to one of these illegal immigrants throwing a branch of tree on their car, see the last video below.

How can this be even acceptable ?

For F”ck sake, i am an immigrant as well , i immigrated to Europe 12 years ago, on a college scholarship, and after having a small startup and meeting a nice girl, i stayed. Most of my study friends that came with me, left back to home …. Yes we are immigrants, but those are opportunist – which all are illegal immigrants by the way –  operating in a mob mentality, hoping to game the system. They have close to no skills and they are not even smart enough to game the system on their own, they tell one another how to do it.

 

Europe do not want immigrants : Immigration need Reforming

I have written some articles previously about immigration and refugees in Europe : immigration to Europe , Syrian Refugees problem … or even Reverse Human immigration.

I am an immigrant myself, so don’t accuse me of being racist, xenophobe etc … I am from what i call “imported immigration”, i was given a scholarship to do my masters in France by a french governmental organization, and that’s why i went to Europe 12 years ago, then one thing led to another … i ended up few years later marrying a women from another EU country, then we moved to her country.

12 years ago, immigration was kind of under control, there was a lot of unskilled illegal immigrants, there was some skilled legal immigrants, some unskilled immigrants granted residence due to family ties, and last a bit of imported immigration like in my case.

That was 12 years ago, now, immigration is out of control, illegal immigration is very high.
And unlike in the past, now many of the immigrants are hostile to Europe itself, some are even members of terrorist organizations …

Integrating an immigrant in a local economy is very very hard and require a long period, integrating the recent immigrants culturally is even harder.

But What is really frightening is that the current immigration and refugee wave is breaking Europe, and is making life harder for Europeans.

The Swiss, for fear of becoming a Mecca for immigrants rejected  a proposal to give a universal basic income (UBI) of around $2600 to every citizen, with almost 77 % saying ‘no’ vs 23% in favor.
Let me rephrase it for you, a population was offered the possibility to no longer worry about food shelter and bills, and yet they said “no thank you”, and the simple reason is that they know that this will trigger a huge immigrant invasion, not only from the non European countries but also from within Europe.

The British, are really considering exiting the EU and shoot themselves in the leg, just to be able to stop the huge influx of immigrants -From Africa, Asia and Eastern Europe.

The situation is no longer such that immigrants are disliked, now it is more like they are not wanted!

Imagine you are sitting on a dinner table with your family, you invite some guests,  you are happy with that. [ selected or imported migration]
Now imagine these guests bring some people with them, you are annoyed.[family reunifications ]
Now imagine, you invited no one and your neighbor decides to come eat on your table, you might tolerate him, but you are not happy.[illegal immigration ]Now imagine, you invited no one and 3 neighbor decides to come eat on your table,you are not happy at all.[current illegal immigration + refugees + inter EU immigration ]
Now imagine, you invited no one and 3-6 neighbor decides to come eat on your table every day ,you should be angry.[ Current EU status with no real solution to immigration ]

Immigration needs reforming:

Yes, many people search for a better life, but immigration should be a matter of supply and demand, it shouldn’t be a matter of competing on the same jobs, competing on the same jobs lowers the standard of living for the host population.

Also lets get this out of the way, refugees should have the exact same treatment all over the EU, with no money offered, but rather: education for kids + providing food and shelter for all.
So choosing the host country,should be only a matter of taste, not a matter of economics, thus if they want to stay in hot weather they should stay in the south, but if they prefer a specific country they move to it.
Because refugees are temporary, any attempt to treat them as permanent immigrants will create backslash, which we are seeing all over Europe, how can you explain to a EU citizen earning less than $400 for an 8AM to 5PM job,  that in other EU countries refugees will get more without having to do anything.

Either way, immigration needs reforming, when i was a student in France, and launched a profitable startup 9-10 years ago,  i wanted to create a company to officialize it and make my startup grow, but i couldn’t legally do that, as i was a foreign student and the system did not allow me to launch a company, but the same system allows me and any other immigrant to be hired!
The system allows immigrants to compete with locals for jobs, and often forbids them from creating jobs for locals (or at least in France’s case).