After watching the last 2 US presidential debates, i came to notice that Donald Trump is not the dumb guy portrayed by the media. In many points he makes sense …
It is visible though that Hillary is way more prepared and experienced, due mainly to her 30 year presence in one way or another on the political scene. This is not necessarily a good thing for electors, as they might associate her with previous politics failure.
Another point is interesting from a political point of view, is that Trump is a bit naive when it comes to the US foreign policy, even though he does quote wikileaks often, it seams that he do not give the same importance to all the revelations, which also include the US involvement in changing and shaping regions to it’s liking , i would recommend reading or watching “the confessions of an economic hitman”
But back to the question, What are Trump chances in Winning the US Elections ?
I would describe them as high, for the following reasons:
1- Hillary does not appear trustworthy, as a neutral observer, it stroke me several times that she is manipulative. Don’t get me wrong, Trump also appears lying, but the difference is that he does not appear manipulative, but simply lying to save face.
2- The media have demonized Trump so much, that it’s not possible to identify his supporters anymore, the supporters did not abandon him, but they are just pretending something else. They might tell you they want to vote for Hillary or Sanders (eventhough he’s not on ballots anymore) or charlie brown etc…, but at the end of the day, they will vote for their candidate. So, no way to trust the Polls, the margin of error is HUGE (sorry couldn’t resist).
3- He is definitely getting all the votes of people fed up with illegal immigration, and that include: many African American, many American Latinos.
4- He has the bible belt support, and don’t be surprised if your local church is telling you to go vote for Trump just before election day.
So yeah, Trump chances are still pretty high, need to wait and see.